Mu 2022, pansi pa kukwera mtengo kwamitengo yamakala yaiwisi komanso kupitiliza kukula kwa msika wapanyumba wa methanol, zidadutsa kuzungulira kwa "W" kugwedezeka komwe kumakhala ndi matalikidwe opitilira 36%.Tikuyembekezera 2023, omwe ali m'makampani akukhulupirira kuti msika wa methanol wa chaka chino upitilizabe ndi momwe zinthu zilili pakukula kwamakampani.Ndi kusintha kwa maubale operekera ndi kufunikira komanso kusintha kwa ndalama zopangira zinthu, zikuyembekezeredwa kuti kufunikira kopanga kudzakula nthawi imodzi, msika udzakhala wokhazikika komanso wokhazikika.Ikuwonetsanso mawonekedwe akuchedwetsa kukula kwa ntchito, kusintha kwa ogula, komanso kusinthasintha kangapo pamsika.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, zotsatira za kutumizidwa kunja kwa msika wapakhomo zikhoza kuwonetsedwa makamaka mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.
Kukula kwa mphamvu kumachepa
Malinga ndi ziwerengero zochokera ku Henan Chemical Network, mu 2022, mphamvu yopangira methanol mdziko langa inali matani 5.545 miliyoni, ndipo mphamvu yatsopano yopangira methanol padziko lonse lapansi idakhazikika ku China.Pofika kumapeto kwa 2022, dziko langa lonse la methanol kupanga mphamvu zinali pafupifupi matani 113.06 miliyoni, zomwe zimawerengera 59% ya mphamvu zonse zapadziko lonse lapansi, ndipo mphamvu yopangira mphamvu inali pafupifupi matani 100 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka kwa 5.7% chaka - chaka.
A Han Hongwei, wachiwiri kwa purezidenti wa Henan Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association, adati mu 2023, mphamvu yopangira methanol mdziko langa ikupitilizabe kukula, koma kukula kudzachepa.Mu 2023, mphamvu yatsopano ya methanol mdziko langa ikhoza kukhala pafupifupi matani 4.9 miliyoni.Panthawiyo, okwana zoweta methanol kupanga mphamvu kufika matani 118 miliyoni, chaka ndi chaka kuwonjezeka 4.4%.Pakalipano, chipangizo chopangidwa chatsopano cha malasha -to -methanol chachepetsedwa kwambiri, makamaka chifukwa cha kukwezedwa kwa chandamale cha "double carbon" komanso kukwera mtengo kwa ndalama zamapulojekiti amagetsi a malasha.Kaya mphamvu yatsopanoyo ingasinthidwe bwino kukhala mphamvu yeniyeni yopangira mtsogolo iyeneranso kumvetsera malangizo a ndondomeko ya "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" yokonzekera makampani atsopano a malasha, komanso kusintha kwa chilengedwe. chitetezo ndi ndondomeko malasha.
Malinga ndi ndemanga zam'tsogolo zamsika, kuyambira pa Januware 29, mtengo wamalonda wa methanol wapakhomo wakwera kufika pa 2,600 yuan (mtengo wa tani, womwewo pansipa), ndipo mtengo wadoko unakwera mpaka 2,800 yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa mwezi kwafika 13. %."Zotsatira za kukhazikitsidwa kwa mphamvu zatsopano pamsika zitha kuwoneka mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, ndipo zikuyembekezeka kuti kubweza pansi pamtengo wa methanol kumayambiriro kwa chaka kukuyembekezeka kupitilira."Han Hongwei anatero.
Kagwiritsidwe kamangidwe kakusintha
Yemwe amayang'anira ntchito ya Zhongyuan Futures Methanol adati chifukwa cha kupewa ndi kuwongolera mliriwu komanso kufowokeka kwa chuma chambiri, kapangidwe kake kagwiritsidwe ntchito ka methanol kadzasinthanso.Pakati pawo, kukula kwa liwiro la malasha -to -olefins ndi kumwa pafupifupi 55% kungachedwe, ndipo kugwiritsa ntchito mafakitale achikhalidwe chakumtunda kukuyembekezeka kukulanso.
Cui Huajie, yemwe amayang'anira Chemical Management ya Henan Ruiyuanxin, adati zosowa za olefins zakhala zofooka kuyambira 2022, ndipo ngakhale msika waiwisi wa methanol wasinthidwa ndi kugwedezeka, umakhalabe wokwera.Pamtengo wokwera kwambiri, malasha-to-olefin amasunga kutayika kwa zotayika chaka chonse.Kukhudzidwa ndi izi, kukula kwa malasha -to -olefin kunawonetsa zizindikiro za kuchepa.Ndi ntchito yoyenga kwambiri komanso yophatikizika yamankhwala yapakhomo limodzi mu 2022 -Shenghong kuyenga ndi kupanga mokwanira, pulojekiti ya Slipon methanol olefin (MTO) ya methanol ikhala matani 2.4 miliyoni mwamalingaliro.Kukula kwenikweni kwa ma olefin pa methanol kudzacheperachepera.
Malinga ndi manejala wa Henan Energy Group, muzachikhalidwe chakumunsi kwa methanol, ma projekiti ambiri a asidi ayamba kukhazikitsidwa kuyambira 2020 mpaka 2021 mokopeka ndi phindu lalikulu, ndipo kuchuluka kwa acetic acid kwapitilira chaka chatha. Matani 1 miliyoni pazaka ziwiri zapitazi.Mu 2023, matani 1.2 miliyoni a acetic acid akuyembekezeka kuwonjezeredwa, kutsatiridwa ndi matani 260,000 a methane chloride, matani 180,000 a methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) ndi matani 550,000 a N, n-dimethylformamide (DMF).Pazonse, kukula kwa kufunikira kwamakampani akumunsi kwa methanol kukuchulukirachulukira, ndipo kagwiritsidwe ntchito ka methanol m'nyumba kumaperekanso chitukuko chamitundumitundu, ndipo kagwiritsidwe ntchito kake kakusintha.Komabe, mapulani opangira mphamvu zatsopanozi m'mafakitale akumunsi amakhazikika kwambiri theka lachiwiri kapena kumapeto kwa chaka, zomwe sizikhala ndi chithandizo chochepa pamsika wa methanol mu 2023.
Zowopsa zamsika ndizosapeweka
Malinga ndi kamangidwe kake ndi zofunika, Shao Huiwen, mkulu msika ndemanga, ananena kuti zoweta methanol kupanga mphamvu kale anakumana ndi mlingo winawake wa overcapacity, koma chifukwa cha kukwera mtengo boma zipangizo methanol akhoza kupitiriza kukhudzidwa, kaya mphamvu yatsopano yopangira methanol ikhoza kukonzedwa mu 2023 molingana ndi dongosolo molingana ndi dongosolo Kupanga kumayenera kuwonedwabe, ndipo kupanganso kumakhazikika mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, zomwe zingakhale zabwino pakupanga methanol. msika mu theka loyamba la 2023.
Kuchokera pamalingaliro akupanga kwa zida zatsopano za methanol kunja kwa nyanja, mphamvu yopangira imayikidwa mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.Kupanikizika kwa katundu wogula kunja kungakhale koonekeratu mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.Ngati mtengo wotsika mtengo wotumizira kunja ukuwonjezeka, msika wapakhomo wa methanol udzakumanabe ndi zotsatira za zinthu zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.
Kuphatikiza apo, mu 2023, makampani azida zam'munsi a methanol ndi mafakitale omwe akutuluka akukonzekera kuti akhazikitse magawo atsopano, omwe mphamvu yatsopano ya MTO imapangidwa makamaka, mafuta oyera a methanol ali ndi msika wowonjezera m'munda wamagetsi atsopano. , kufunikira kwa methanol kumayembekezeredwa kuwonjezeka, koma chiwongoladzanja chikhoza kupitirizabe kuchepa.Msika wam'nyumba wa methanol wonse udakali wochulukirachulukira.Zikuyembekezeka kuti msika wapakhomo wa methanol udzawuka koyamba ndikukhazikika mu 2023, ndipo kuthekera kosintha mu theka lachiwiri la chaka sikungathetsedwe.Komabe, chifukwa cha kukwera mtengo kwa malasha aiwisi ndi gasi, zimakhala zovuta kukonza msika wa methanol pakanthawi kochepa, ndipo kugwedezeka konseko sikungapeweke.
Ogwira ntchito m'mafakitale adanenanso kuti kukula kwapachaka kwa mphamvu yopanga methanol m'zaka zisanu zikubwerazi kukuyembekezeka kukhala pamtunda wa 3% mpaka 4%.Nthawi yomweyo, ndi kuphatikiza kwa mafakitale ndi kukweza kwaukadaulo, matani opitilira miliyoni imodzi a methanol kupita ku chipangizo chophatikizira cha olefin akadali odziwika bwino, kaboni wobiriwira ndi njira zina zomwe zikutuluka zidzakhala zowonjezera.Methanol kuti aromatics ndi methanol kuti mafuta adzapezanso mwayi watsopano chitukuko ndi kukula kwa sikelo mafakitale, koma kudziletsa kuthandiza Integrated chipangizo akadali chizolowezi chitukuko, mphamvu mitengo adzakhala m'manja mwa mabizinesi akuluakulu kutsogolera, ndi Kusinthika kwakukulu pamsika wa methanol kukuyembekezeka kuwongolera.
Nthawi yotumiza: Feb-08-2023