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Butadiene: Njira yolimbikitsira idapitilira kugwira ntchito kwakukulu

Kulowa 2023, msika zoweta butadiene apamwamba kwambiri, mtengo msika unakula ndi 22,71%, chaka ndi chaka kukula kwa 44,76%, kukwaniritsa chiyambi chabwino.Otsatira pamsika akukhulupirira kuti 2023 butadiene msika zolimba chitsanzo zipitirira, msika ndi ofunika kuyang'ana, pa nthawi yomweyo msika zoweta butadiene wonse ntchito imeneyi kapena adzakhala apamwamba pang'ono kuposa 2022, wonse mkulu ntchito.

Kusakhazikika kwakukulu kwa msika

Katswiri wina wa a Jin Lianchuang, a Zhang Xiuping, adati makampaniwa analibe chiyembekezo pa msika wa butadiene mu Januwale chifukwa cha kukhudzidwa kwa kupanga kwa Shenghong Refining ndi chomera chamankhwala.Komabe, kukonza komwe kukuyembekezeka kwa zomera za butadiene ku Zhejiang Petrochemical ndi Zhenhai Refining ndi chomera chamankhwala mu February ndi Marichi kwakweza pang'onopang'ono momwe msika umagwirira ntchito.Kuphatikiza apo, Tianchen Qixiang ndi Zhejiang Petrochemical Co., LTD.Chomera cha acrylonitrile - butadiene - styrene copolymer (ABS) chikuwonjezeka pang'onopang'ono.Msika ukufufuza mozama.

Ngakhale unit ya butadiene mu Phase II ya Zhejiang Petrochemical ikuyenera kutsekedwa kuti ikonzedwe mkati mwa February, ndipo chomera cha Zhenhai Refining and Chemical chikuyeneranso kukonzedwanso kumapeto kwa February, zonse za Hainan Refining and Chemical Plant ndi petrochina. Chomera cha Guangdong Petrochemical chikuyembekezeka kukhazikitsidwa mu February.Pansi pa chikoka chonse, kupanga kwa butadiene kukuyembekezeka kukhala kokhazikika koma kosasunthika, ndipo mtengo wamsika ukuyembekezeka kukhala wapamwamba.

Malinga ndi kutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu ya bifienne mu 2023, pakhoza kukhala matani 1.04 miliyoni a mphamvu zatsopano zomwe zatulutsidwa chaka chonse, koma kuchedwa kwa kukhazikitsa kwina sikungaletsedwe.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, zomera zambiri zatsopano zomwe zimayenera kukhazikitsidwa kumapeto kwa chaka chatha zachedwa mpaka theka loyamba la chaka chino.Kuphatikiza pa Shenghong Refining and Chemical, zomera zina za butadiene monga Dongming Petrochemical zikuyembekezekanso kugwira ntchito.Mu theka loyamba la chaka, anakhudzidwa ndi anaikira amasulidwe mphamvu zatsopano kupanga, butadiene kupereka pang'onopang'ono kutha, msika kapena kusonyeza mkulu mchitidwe kutsegula.

Zikuyembekezeka kuti zida zocheperako zatsopano za butadiene zidzapangidwa mu theka lachiwiri la chaka, ndipo zikuyembekezeredwa kuti zida zatsopano zotsika pansi zidzayikidwa pakupanga.Kuwonjezeka kwa kufunikira kudzakhala kwakukulu kuposa kukwera kwazinthu, ndipo msika wokhazikika wa msika udzapitilirabe.

Kuonjezera apo, ndi kukhathamiritsa ndi kusintha kwa ndondomeko ya mliri ndi kuyembekezera kuwonjezeka kwachuma, zofunikira zonse zapakhomo mu theka lachiwiri la chaka zikhoza kukhala bwino poyerekeza ndi theka loyamba la chaka, ndi chithandizo chamtengo wapatali mbali yofunikila imakulitsidwanso poyerekeza ndi theka loyamba la chaka.Mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa butadiene ngati zopangira ndizokwera kuposa theka loyamba la chaka.

Mtengo wa zopangira ndizovuta kugwa

Monga zinthu zapompstone, monga zopangira za butadiene, zidathandizidwa ndi kukula kwa 2022, ndipo kupanga mafuta amwala amwala kunapitilira kukula chaka chonse.Malinga ndi kafukufuku wochokera ku National Bureau of Statistics, kutulutsa kwamafuta amwala amwala mdziko langa mu 2022 kunali matani 54.78 miliyoni, kuchuluka kwa 10.51% kuposa chaka chatha;kuchuluka kwa mafuta muubongo wamwala kunali matani 9.26 miliyoni, ndipo kumwa kwa wotchi yamafuta amiyala kunali matani 63.99 miliyoni a matani 63.99 miliyoni.wasintha +13.21% poyerekeza ndi chaka chatha.

Mu 2023, ndikuzimiririka kwapang'onopang'ono kwa mliriwu, ndondomekoyi ndi yabwino, chuma chayamba kubwereranso pang'onopang'ono, kuchuluka kwa ntchito zamakampani a petrochemical kudzakwera, ndipo kufunikira kwa mafuta amafuta akumtunda kudzawonjezeka.Zikuyembekezeka kuti izi zipitilira mpaka gawo lachitatu.Pofika m'gawo lachinayi, malo opangira mafuta a petrochemical adalowa m'nyengo yachikhalidwe, ndipo ntchito yomanga pansi idachepa.Kufunika kwa mafuta ndi mafuta kunali ndi chiopsezo chochepa.

Pazonse, malo oyeretserawo atalowa nthawi yokonza pakati pagawo lachiwiri, mafuta amafuta adatsika ndikuthandizanso kubweza msika.Komabe, chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa kukula kwachuma padziko lonse ndi kufunikira kosakwanira, kubwezeretsanso kumakhala kochepa, ndipo mtengo ukhoza kupitiriza kusinthidwa mtengo utakhala wokwera.Gawo lachitatu linali pachimake cha maulendo achikhalidwe.Pa nthawiyi, mitengo yamafuta amafuta pang'onopang'ono idabwereranso pamlingo woyenera.Phindu la chipangizo chophwanyika linakula, ntchito ya msika inakula, ndipo mtengo wa zipangizo unali wosalala mpaka pansi.M'gawo lachinai, msika wa petrochemical udzalowa muzakudya zanthawi zonse - nyengo, kufunikira kwatsika, ndipo mtengo wamafuta amafuta amwala udzatsikanso.

Kuchokera pakuwona makampani oyenga, ntchito yomanga yofulumira ya Yulong Island Refining Project ikukonzekera kuti ipangidwe kumapeto kwa 2023. Gawo lachiwiri la Hainan Petrochemical Hainan Refining and Chemical, Zhenhai Refinery Phase I ndi CNOOC Petrochemical Plan anali. yakhazikika mu 2023 mpaka 2024. Kukula kwa zinthu zopangira mafuta opangira mafuta mosakayika ndizopindulitsa pamsika wamafuta, motero zimathandizira kutsika kwatsiku komwe kumaphatikizapo butadiene pamtengo.

Kuwonjezeka kwakufunika kwapamtunda

Kulowa mu 2023, chikoka cha mfundo zabwino monga msonkho wogula wa butadiene terminals zidasinthidwa pang'ono, ndipo makampani opangira mphira kumtunda adakonzedwa mwachangu.Nthawi yomweyo, kukhathamiritsa kosalekeza kwa njira zopewera miliri ya dziko kunabweretsanso zabwino pamsika wa rabara.Kuwonjezeka kwa kutsika kwa mitsinje patchuthi cha Chikondwerero cha Spring, komanso kutsika kwa mtsinje wa butadiene, kukuyembekezeka kuyenderera kumsika kumayambiriro kwa 2023, ndipo kufunikira kwa malo a butadiene kudzakwera kwambiri.

Kuchokera pakuwona kutulutsidwa kwa mphamvu mu 2023, mphamvu ya rabara ya butadiebenbenbenbenbenbenbal ili ndi voliyumu yochepa, yomwe ndi matani 40,000 okha / chaka;kapisozi watsopano wa capsule ali ndi matani 273,000;the polypropylene and chunyrene -butadiene -lyzyrene convergence market Mphamvu yopanga ndi matani 150,000/chaka;ABS yawonjezera matani 444,900/chaka, ndipo mphamvu yopangidwa kumene ya guluu wa Tinto ndi matani 50,000/chaka;Sizovuta kuwona kuti chipangizo chatsopanocho chimayikidwa nthawi zonse pakupanga, ndipo kutsika kwapansi kumayembekezeredwa kuwonjezeka kwambiri.Ngati zomwe zili pamwambazi zimatulutsidwa panthawi yake, mosakayika ndizopindulitsa kwambiri pamsika wa butadiene.

Kuonjezera apo, pamene ndondomeko zamakono zopewera miliri zikupitirizabe kukonzedwa bwino, zotsatira za miliri pa zinthu zogulitsa kunja ndi zogulitsa kunja zidzachepa pang'onopang'ono m'tsogolomu.Tikuyembekezera 2023, butadiene kudzidalira mlingo adzawonjezeka, kuchuluka kwa katundu adzapitiriza kufota, koma kuchira zofuna zakunja zithandiza butadiene katundu wowonjezera kuchuluka.Pofuna kulinganiza bwino msika wapakhomo ndi momwe amafunira, kuchulukitsidwa kwa kunja kungakhale cholinga cha mabizinesi apakhomo a butadiene.


Nthawi yotumiza: Feb-23-2023